Lakshman Achuthan

Right now, [our] leading indicators clearly show that the U.S. economy is in a window of vulnerability. This means that, read more

Right now, [our] leading indicators clearly show that the U.S. economy is in a window of vulnerability. This means that, depending on the course of oil prices and geopolitical events, the economy can be easily tipped into a new recession.

There's been a very real structural shift, primarily in manufacturing employment, as a result of outsourcing and earlier capital investment read more

There's been a very real structural shift, primarily in manufacturing employment, as a result of outsourcing and earlier capital investment that has increased productivity. They're making employment act differently in this upturn.

As the recovery takes hold, the vulnerability we have surrounding these issues will diminish and they won't be able to read more

As the recovery takes hold, the vulnerability we have surrounding these issues will diminish and they won't be able to impact the overall economy. And then investors will focus on the good news.

It's the 'Red Queen effect' -- you've got to run twice as fast just to stay in place.

It's the 'Red Queen effect' -- you've got to run twice as fast just to stay in place.

The Fed's painfully aware of this, and that's one of the better reasons they try to telegraph what they're doing, read more

The Fed's painfully aware of this, and that's one of the better reasons they try to telegraph what they're doing, so people don't get caught. The institutions that have taken decisions that might put them into harm's way are probably fewer.