Lakshman Achuthan

One of the things recessions do is uncover weak links. When you're in a strong economy, a bull market, you read more

One of the things recessions do is uncover weak links. When you're in a strong economy, a bull market, you can paper over a lot of things. When you get under some strain, these things show up.

[Rising home values] are making people feel they don't need to save.

[Rising home values] are making people feel they don't need to save.

I don't think we're going to see jobs collapse or disappear. There is a bit of fear in the air read more

I don't think we're going to see jobs collapse or disappear. There is a bit of fear in the air with what's been going on with oil prices and the hurricane that there's going to be some kind of collapse. But I think this economy is resilient.

The Fed's painfully aware of this, and that's one of the better reasons they try to telegraph what they're doing, read more

The Fed's painfully aware of this, and that's one of the better reasons they try to telegraph what they're doing, so people don't get caught. The institutions that have taken decisions that might put them into harm's way are probably fewer.

Right now, [our] leading indicators clearly show that the U.S. economy is in a window of vulnerability. This means that, read more

Right now, [our] leading indicators clearly show that the U.S. economy is in a window of vulnerability. This means that, depending on the course of oil prices and geopolitical events, the economy can be easily tipped into a new recession.