Lincoln Anderson

The biggest thing that would help the markets right now would be a sustained drop in crude oil, but I'm read more

The biggest thing that would help the markets right now would be a sustained drop in crude oil, but I'm not holding my breath for that. It's drawing attention away from third-quarter numbers that, despite GM, are really pretty good.

For five years I worked at the [Commerce Department] and did econometric modeling, and you could never get these numbers read more

For five years I worked at the [Commerce Department] and did econometric modeling, and you could never get these numbers to load into consumption numbers. They're not leading indicators or coincident indicators. They don't tell you a lot.

In the meantime, the data on the US economy (especially employment and industrial production) will look very weak in the read more

In the meantime, the data on the US economy (especially employment and industrial production) will look very weak in the next few months,

It reminds me of PIO, or pilot induced oscillation, a lag in the plane's response to a pilot moving the read more

It reminds me of PIO, or pilot induced oscillation, a lag in the plane's response to a pilot moving the stick, ... You push the stick down and the plane doesn't go down right away, so you push it down more, and then it really starts to fall. The same thing happens in monetary policy if you have gradualism in interest rates.

I'm more interested in whether the losses we'll see on Friday are a permanent feature on the landscape or just read more

I'm more interested in whether the losses we'll see on Friday are a permanent feature on the landscape or just the result of people pushed out of work due to Katrina and Rita. I think the market will look at it and shrug it off and look at what's going to happen in October.