Joseph Abate

The fact that households are saving so little, even with strong growth in personal income, is a potentially troubling development.

The fact that households are saving so little, even with strong growth in personal income, is a potentially troubling development.

On net, we'll see some damage and a hit to corporate profits and proprietors' income, but that effect is temporary. read more

On net, we'll see some damage and a hit to corporate profits and proprietors' income, but that effect is temporary. But in the next quarter, we will get some mild stimulus from the rebuilding. Certainly, it will have no major, permanent effect on the economy.

Manufacturing activity in the region appears to have cooled off. We suspect it will be another month or two before read more

Manufacturing activity in the region appears to have cooled off. We suspect it will be another month or two before auto manufacturers start ramping up production to replenish sales-depleted inventories.

Further improvement in earnings and additional declines in the unemployment rate is likely to boost overall confidence and keep consumption read more

Further improvement in earnings and additional declines in the unemployment rate is likely to boost overall confidence and keep consumption strong.

With little excess capacity left in the labor market, we expect continued upward pressure on wages.

With little excess capacity left in the labor market, we expect continued upward pressure on wages.