Haseeb Ahmed

The manufacturing surveys from September confirm that there has been no broad-based deterioration in activity due to the energy price read more

The manufacturing surveys from September confirm that there has been no broad-based deterioration in activity due to the energy price spike in the aftermath of Katrina. This is quite promising for the growth outlook.

Capacity constraints are clearly in the forefront and are what keeps the Fed going in the near term.

Capacity constraints are clearly in the forefront and are what keeps the Fed going in the near term.

A late Easter this year, following an early one last year, contributed to weakness in chain store sales in March, read more

A late Easter this year, following an early one last year, contributed to weakness in chain store sales in March, and should ensure strength in April.

It's clear that we've seen some pass-through of raw materials costs to producer prices, but retail inflation is still restrained.

It's clear that we've seen some pass-through of raw materials costs to producer prices, but retail inflation is still restrained.

Leading indicators have been strong the last few months, and that's telling us we're going to see very strong acceleration read more

Leading indicators have been strong the last few months, and that's telling us we're going to see very strong acceleration in first-quarter growth.